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Moore’s Law Makes Household Robots Possible

March 5, 2013
Improvements in microprocessors have enabled a modern lifestyle that relies on robots to do the dirty work not only in industry but also around the office and around the house. 

Two thousand years ago, Roman citizens would count their slaves to determine how many tasks could be accomplished. Early in the twentieth century, people counted their electric motors to answer the same question. Today we count microprocessors. There are more than a hundred microprocessors in many modern homes, not counting the 50 to 80 processors in modern automobiles (Fig. 1). In fact, a microprocessor is a modern-age robot, “a mechanical or virtual artificial agent.”1

The Age Of Robots

The age of robotics is upon us. A few decades ago it was science fiction, but in the next decade or two, more and more robots will populate our homes. Isaac Asimov, best known for his science fiction stories, formulated “The Three Laws of Robotics” designed to constrain robots from harming humans. Asimov said, “I do not fear computers. I fear the lack of them.”2 We agree. If we removed microprocessors from our homes, our standard of living would plummet.

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1. A modern home typically has all the lights blazing and the electric meter spinning—an indication of the many hidden robots at work.

In a 1965 paper, Gordon Moore proposed a concept that would become known as Moore’s Law. He envisioned a digital technology that increases very rapidly by shrinking transistors and, thus, greatly increases the density of microprocessors. In the process the cost of individual transistors would also decrease, making more powerful processors affordable. Moore’s foresight was astounding. 

“The future of integrated electronics is the future of electronics itself. The advantages of integration will bring about a proliferation of electronics, pushing this science into many new areas,” he said. “Integrated circuits will lead to such wonders as home computers or at least terminals connected to a central computer, automatic controls for automobiles, and personal portable communications equipment. The electronic wristwatch needs only a display to be feasible today.”3

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And that was 48 years ago! Today we sit composing this article with voice recognition, at home on a laptop, and backing up on a cloud. We drive cars with more than 50 processors; stay in contact, worldwide, with voice, e-mail, and video on a smart phone; and buy digital watches for less than $10. These are exciting times, while our innovations and standard of living are limited only by man’s imagination.

But back to Moore’s Law, which has been modified slightly over the years, but the concept is solid. Today we say that transistor density on ICs doubles about every two years.4 This is akin to compounded interest in banking and has held true for the last 48 amazing years. To illustrate, in 1971, Intel’s 4004 processor had 2300 transistors. In 1978, the 8068 had 29,000 transistors. In 1989, the Intel 486 had 1.2 million transistors. In 1999, the Intel Pentium III processor had 9.5 million devices. Then 2010 found Intel processors with 774 million transistors5 and 2013 dawned with 2.27 billion transistors. 

As exceptional as the density increase is, the rest of Moore’s prediction has also come true. The price of microprocessors has declined, so they have proliferated everywhere. You can now buy little processors for less than $1 each. In high volumes, they only cost pennies. The engineers also saw that a programmable microprocessor could be sold as a standalone processor, starting the Intel families of processors.

Today, manufacturers of specialty items can choose a general-purpose processor over a completely custom IC. This decision is made on volume versus cost, return on investment (ROI), and time-to-market. Consider a simple decorative LED solar garden light that retails for $3.33. A block diagram for an ASIC might include a solar cell, one AA rechargeable battery, a boost converter for charging the battery and running the LED, a clock oscillator, a state machine (sequence counter), and LED switching transistors. The alternative is to use a small microprocessor with a few external transistors and diodes. The choice is an economic decision, because the ASIC has the relatively high front-end cost of non-recurring engineering (NRE). Low volumes may dictate the general microprocessor approach. 

The one constant in the microprocessor race is that all microprocessors use electricity. A consequence of smaller transistors is lower power, which leads to longer battery life. Robots or “household helpers” need electricity to operate. The decision to use an ac power line, rechargeable battery, or replaceable batteries is made for each application. The key fob that opens the car door is not recharged, but the coin-cell battery is just changed once a year. Electronic meters for natural gas and water may run 10 to 40 years until the battery must be replaced, and many appliances are plugged into our home’s ac power line. Where are we going with this? The age of robots, envisioned so clearly by Gordon Moore back in 1965, is now a ubiquitous part of our daily lives—and many of us don’t realize it.

Robots—Everywhere But Not Noticed

As we contemplate the delivery of electricity, we can ask ourselves if we could we build what we might consider life necessities from scratch. Sadly, most of us could not make the items that we use in our daily life or have around the house. What about simple things, such as a ballpoint pen, remote controls, garden solar lights, or anything with even the simplest microcontroller?

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Before we get to the typical modern home with the simplest of machine robots, we need to consider the municipal, governmental, and other external support services that all rely on robots. Today our comfort and wellbeing depend on the availability of unobtrusive services operated and maintained by microprocessors.

Last night driving home from work, I phoned my wife and asked if she needed something from the store. In that one action, we relied on microprocessors in the cell phone and towers, the automobile, even the traffic lights. Our count of these supportive “necessities” surpasses 90 items: electricity, drinking water, natural gas, sewer and garbage service, fire and police services, repair services for autos and appliances, and even things like grocery stores. These robotic services are ever present, so much so that we ignore their importance.

Robots In The Home

Now back to a home, my home, which I consider typical for an urban dweller with grown kids. We started counting motors (158) and electrically operated machines (87) and then microprocessors (278).

Microprocessors are everywhere, from light dimmers, timers, and remote controls to battery-operated candles and solar garden lights—and it isn’t just one of each kind. We have multiple phones, lights, computers, printers, carbon-monoxide alarms, battery-powered hand tools, and more. Would you believe we have eight smoke alarms that form their own wireless mesh network? There is programmed air conditioning so we can sleep at night. We no longer bash our clothes on a rock in a stream because we have clothes washers and dryers, as well as the hot water to support those appliances. We are saved from boredom because we have two digital video recorders (DVR) that can record four satellite channels and three over-the-air channels simultaneously; two boxes stream video from the Internet and two DVD players go with the surroundsound.

We are spoiled by our lifestyles. But none of this would work so well when we want it and at the right temperature or brightness if robots weren’t everywhere and the supply of electricity to power them reliable.

Vacuum Cleaner Robots

We have two semi-autonomous robotic vacuum cleaners: a Roomba and a Neato Robotics XV-11 (Fig. 2). The Roomba is older and utilizes a semi-random pattern bounded by walls, stairs, furniture, and IR beams. The XV-11 first maps the room with an IR laser and then programs itself to perform an efficient back-and-forth motion.

2. Robot vacuums are intelligent agents that utilize an IR laser to scan the room, detecting the perimeter, furniture, doorways, and even people to guide itself.

Both the Roomba and the Neato vacuums will return themselves to the charging station. The Roomba, however, needs to be restarted because it has no memory. The XV-11 will return to the room from which it came and resume its work. It can recharge as many times as necessary as it goes from room to room and cleans the whole house.

The robot’s microprocessor acts like a movie director, supervising all vacuum and cleaning actions and allowing it to run unattended most of the time. There are a few exceptions, and any automated device can fail. Once a rug was frayed and the robot tried to eat the string. At other times, it sees its dustbin as a fun toy box. In either case it is smart enough to stop and beep for help. The LCD tells us what’s bothering the robot, so we don’t have to guess. All this leaves me more time to work on my “honey-do” list, and this also pleases my spouse.

Fine, you say. This is “cool engineering” for me. But do we really need a robot vacuum? Couldn’t we use a manual vacuum? Yes, but there are other advantages. The main benefit is time to do other things. Either of these robots uses less power than our manual vacuum, which makes it greener. But more importantly, it can be scheduled to run and reduce the normal dust buildup, improving the health of all of us living there. 

Lighting Like No Other

Let’s now talk about lights—perhaps not so obviously robots, but still robotic in function. Our front entryway has an up-lighted vaulted ceiling. The ceiling is essentially bumped up with a trough facing upward around the bump. The LEDs are in the trough with only the reflection from the bumped ceiling visible. The LED light color can be changed by an IR remote control to suit one’s mood. There are two microprocessors, one in the remote control and one in the trough to receive the IR and switch the LEDs. The color, fade, or flash rate between colors can be varied by remote control.

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Outdoors, solar lights illuminate the pathways. Other LED lights cycle through red, green, and blue for decoration. They are solar powered and do not add to my electric bill. A specialized microprocessor can charge the battery from a solar cell and sequence the colors. These automated LEDs replaced a wired 12-V system with a plug-in ac transformer that also was a maintenance headache when cultivating around the plants.

There are compact fluorescent lights (CFLs) throughout the home, and many are dimmable. The dimmers in the house are controlled, or remote controlled, with specialized ICs or microprocessors. Even CFLs made for dimming have an annoying defect when dimmed with other CFLs. They “talk” to each other through the power line, and at some settings the switching power supplies in each CFL try to synchronize and blink on and off. Ironically, the fix is to replace one CFL with an incandescent light. The low impedance of the incandescent light swamps out the current pulses of the CFLs and prevents the crosstalk. This shows how the old technology can rescue the microprocessor.

There are IR-sensitive exterior security lights that sense and hopefully deter intruders. We had trouble adjusting the IR sensor to activate the light when someone (at a cool temperature) was in the driveway and yet ignore the hot radiators of the cars coming up the street. We solved this issue by adding radar at 10.5 GHz with a smarter microprocessor. Yes, using both IR and radar “sight” for an intelligent agent (read, robot) to control a light seems like overkill. Nevertheless, I am an engineer and we do have the technology to get around nature.

The hot tub has a light, originally a 12-V ac incandescent bulb controlled by a switch. To add “mood lighting,” we replaced that light with RGB LEDs designed to be controlled by a single on-and-off switch. The inputs to the LEDs are, of course, rectifier diodes to convert the ac to dc and charge a “large” capacitor, hence a large time constant. The clever part is a second path from the ac line that has a shorter time constant. The main power comes from the large capacitor, and the second path signals that the switch has been turned off for a moment. The main power essentially ignores the short interruption, while the second path increments a counter to change which LEDs are lighted and the mood lights. One setting causes the LEDs to slowly cycle through all the colors.

The hot tub runs at 100°F, so guess what happens to the large wet electrolytic capacitor? When we pulled the LED bulb assembly out of the hot tub, the main 470-µF capacitor was swollen and dried out. Soldering in a new capacitor fixed the issue for another year.  

More Robots

How about a telepresence robot? I could send it to work for me so I can troubleshoot remotely. Basically, robots could let us be in two places at the same time. Really? Yes, really.

We borrowed a QB Avatar robot from Anybots and tried out its Virtual Presence System at Maxim’s headquarters in San Jose, Calif. We attended meetings and communicated as if we were actually there in person (Fig. 3). Speaking as an engineer, it was fun, and we could see how it could save travel time and allow us be in two spots at the same time.

3. The QB avatar by Anybots allows me to help customers troubleshoot issues and be in two places at once.

The QB balances on two wheels using gyro-controlled microprocessor servos. (It is an inverted pendulum.) It weighs just 32 pounds and is safe around people. QB lives in a cloud, and we can control it worldwide through the Internet with a special ultra-low-latency video protocol. It enables real-time collaboration, virtually in-person, aiding the troubleshooting of customer equipment. We can look over the engineer’s shoulder and see the same oscilloscope, meter, or spectrum analyzer just as the engineer sees it. This also makes it easier to train our personnel.

My next robot “want” is one that we have been looking at for more than a decade. Christmas machines, now called 3D printers, were $25,000 to $50,000 back then. They allow us to design and build 3D models without investing in expensive molds. Today, there are very good professional 3D printers for a few thousand dollars that can build larger objects in plastic and metals. The consumer or hobbyist models are only plastic now, but they start at $400. This is in the realm of a paper laser printer and in the range where I can buy a toy for myself. Now my limitation is the time to learn to use the 3D design software. I’m looking for a cool first project, and any ideas are welcome.

Conclusion

Most of us enjoy an unprecedented comfortable lifestyle enabled by microprocessors performing robotic functions around us. Yet we rarely think about these robots, and it’s sobering to realize how quickly all that automated operation will collapse without electric power.

Once when we lost power we found ourselves walking into a room and flipping on the light switch. This was reflex (robotic, if you will). Then when the power returned, we felt really ridiculous as almost all the lights in the house were on. We went from room to room using remotes to turn off the lights. Oh, but we are so typical. We use robots without thinking and even try to make them work when they simply cannot. When will we learn?

References

1. You can start reviewing the dialogue about robots here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robot.

2. Isaac Asimov, BrainyQuote.com, Xplore Inc., 2013, www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/i/isaac_asimov.html.

3. Gordon E. Moore, “Cramming more components onto integrated circuits,” Electronics, Volume 38, Number 8, April 19, 1965.

4. Backgrounder, Moore’s Law: Raising the Bar, Intel Corp., 2005,  http://download.intel.com/museum/Moores_Law/Printed_Materials/Moores_Law_Backgrounder.pdf.

5. Chris Hare, “Current Processors Chart,” 1997, last updated: January 22, 2013, http://pclinks.xtreemhost.com/current_cpus.htm.

Bill Laumeister is an engineer in strategic applications with the Precision Control Group at Maxim Integrated. He works with customers who use DACs, digital potentiometers, and voltage references. He has more than 30 years of experience and holds several patents.

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About the Author

Bill Laumeister

Bill Laumeister is an engineer in strategic applications at Maxim Integrated Products. He works with customers who use Maxim’s analog and digital integrated circuits. He has more than 30 years of experience and holds several patents.

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